Sportsbet

First Principles were engaged to help increase the maturity and sophistication of the Sportsbet experimentation program in preparation for a transition to machine learning model driven experimentation.

Before partnering with First Principles, the organisation had some challenges with their experimentation program:

  • Processes were manual and highly complex

  • Experimentation throughput was low

  • Experimentation data was untrustworthy

  • Many experiments didn’t move the needle

 

Date
Oct 2023 - Feb 2024

Client
Sportsbet

Services delivered
- Experimentation strategic advisory
- Detailed experimentation solution recommendations
- Experimentation program transition plan & roadmap


 

The business opportunity

Sportsbet is a market-leading online sports wagering company in Australia, with a market share of 50% and revenues of $2.25B. The business has developed some foundational capabilities with experimentation over a period of four years, conducting approximately 200+ experiments per annum.

It currently takes the experimentation team a long time to perform experiments, with all experiments executed manually. The business was seeking greater agility and flexibility to learn from customers faster. Conducting individualised and personalised experiments to highly targeted customer segments was challenging.

The team were seeking to increase experimentation program maturity and sophistication to grow market leadership position. Key to this goal is being able to allocate generosity investment more effectively through highly targeted, personalised offers, ensuring better returns on customer investment.

 

The key objective of the project was to define a new, future state experimentation operating model to support successful machine learning model driven experimentation.

 

The solution

This project was strategic advisory consulting, with First Principles required to develop a series of solutions and recommendations to increase experimentation quality, increase experimentation speed and improve experimentation program governance.

The project was run over a five-month period.

There were four phases of the project: 

  1. Strategy & requirements – establish project foundations & define experimentation program strategy

  2. Insights & assessment – conduct discovery and analysis to understand current state landscape

  3. Design & justification – design and develop the future state operating model

  4. Recommendations & roadmap – experimentation program transformation pathway defined

Strategy & requirements

  • Foundations set in place to ensure a disciplined and successful project – Project Scope & Deliverables, Project Timelines, Stakeholder Engagement Map & Kick-Off Meeting

  • Experimentation program Strategy & Mission defined through a collaborative workshop with key stakeholders – Mission, Strategic Alignment, Purpose, Objectives, Values/Behaviours, Program Performance Metrics

Insights & assessment

  • 16 teams were engaged and 33 interviews conducted with key stakeholders to analyse and understand the current state environment – industry, business operations & experimentation processes, systems & tools

  • Organisational capability assessment was conducted to identify Organisational Strengths & Weaknesses

  • 13 high-priority, high-impact improvement opportunities identified for the experimentation program

Design & justification

  • 11 key stakeholders were engaged for business requirements elicitation. 84 raw business requirements were captured

  • List of 34 synthesised business requirements were reviewed and prioritised collaboratively with stakeholders

  • 21 requirements prioritised as High Priority for the experimentation program

  • Collaborative workshop conducted to determine fit-for-purpose Experimentation Team Structure

  • Detailed solution recommendations were prepared to address all high-priority improvement opportunities and business requirements

  • Solution design recommendations were socialised with key stakeholders for feedback

  • GAP Analysis conducted to understand transition pathway from Current State to Future State

  • Risk Analysis conducted - 9 high-impact risks identified

Recommendations & roadmap

  • Solution design recommendations further socialised with key stakeholders for feasibility & refinement

  • Workshops conducted with key stakeholders to communicate solution design recommendations

  • Blueprint & rollout plan formulated for transition pathway to future state operating model

 

The results

  • 22 detailed solution design recommendations prepared to solve for high-priority, high-impact improvement opportunities

  • 3-year transition plan defined for solution implementation, including identification of key dependencies and sequencing of initiatives

  • New Future State experimentation program operating model defined - team structure, processes, systems, governance, roles & responsibilities

Key learnings


Model testing

Machine learning models can and should be tested in production like anything else. Testing machine learning models should be viewed like a product change, with a rigorous A/B testing approach applied.

High-value customers

Not testing regularly on high-value customer segments introduces business risk. Changes should be tested on all customers who are receiving the change. Not experimenting on high-value customers limits ability to understand customer drivers for more impactful innovation.

Interaction effects

Test interactions are rare and generally not worth worrying about provided monitoring is in place. Trying to isolate tests is far less valuable than the testing velocity achieved by allowing overlapping tests to run in parallel.

Experimentation autonomy

Experimentation programs must have the independence and autonomy to pursue broader organisational learning objectives. Separating experimentation from BAU planning processes accelerates customer value creation and delivery.

 
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